Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.202551 0.234926 0.272580 0.320047 0.378909 0.450340 5.448819e-01
2025-02-23 0.153746 0.194201 0.247033 0.322921 0.432346 0.589865 8.448112e-01
2025-03-02 0.125040 0.167720 0.228328 0.324484 0.481107 0.742522 1.254334e+00
2025-03-09 0.105553 0.148044 0.212336 0.322661 0.521436 0.899263 1.786252e+00
2025-03-16 0.090786 0.131759 0.196891 0.315918 0.549217 1.046384 2.433338e+00
2025-03-23 0.082514 0.123701 0.192359 0.325894 0.611250 1.299201 3.647761e+00
2025-03-30 0.073502 0.112836 0.180752 0.319234 0.635888 1.480738 4.934276e+00
2025-04-06 0.067721 0.106459 0.175763 0.324133 0.688716 1.777497 7.313327e+00
2025-04-13 0.061825 0.099021 0.167469 0.319907 0.717600 2.027627 1.022775e+01
2025-04-20 0.057924 0.094616 0.164191 0.325899 0.776820 2.441480 1.605362e+01
2025-04-27 0.054849 0.091314 0.162512 0.335172 0.850563 3.001220 2.735008e+01
2025-05-04 0.051931 0.087938 0.160122 0.342127 0.921463 3.651679 4.855440e+01
2025-05-11 0.049426 0.085148 0.158713 0.351852 1.010244 4.568617 1.012677e+02
2025-05-18 0.046840 0.081923 0.155915 0.357379 1.089178 5.612957 2.326896e+02
2025-05-25 0.044319 0.078557 0.152315 0.359866 1.159513 6.798623 6.270800e+02
2025-06-01 0.041793 0.074923 0.147597 0.357993 1.211909 8.019976 2.069880e+03
2025-06-08 0.039196 0.070895 0.141432 0.350337 1.234962 9.068125 8.625784e+03
2025-06-15 0.037877 0.069457 0.141298 0.361783 1.361237 11.940274 1.036353e+07
2025-06-22 0.035711 0.065988 0.135730 0.354158 1.384354 13.560822 NaN
2025-06-29 0.034362 0.064194 0.134148 0.359773 1.488192 17.342329 NaN
2025-07-06 0.032655 0.061463 0.129843 0.354932 1.528353 20.304677 NaN
2025-07-13 0.031578 0.060056 0.128823 0.361798 1.651400 26.879956 NaN
2025-07-20 0.030716 0.059065 0.128780 0.372433 1.813907 37.792237 NaN